Market Research: What You Need To Know From Last Week - Markets, Trade Talks, and Tech

Trump And Powell

Donald Trump's recent attacks on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell alarmed several of his top advisers, who warned that any attempt to remove the central bank chief could trigger as much market turbulence as the ongoing trade war.

These warnings, along with this week's market volatility, appear to have resonated. On Tuesday, Trump backtracked on his threats to remove Powell, telling reporters in the Oval Office: "I have no intention of firing him."

US: Open To Dialogue With China

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent moved to rebuild bridges with China on Wednesday, asserting that there is an "opportunity to reach a major trade deal" with the Asian giant to end the recent trade conflict.

"If they want to rebalance the relationship, let’s do it together," Bessent stated during an appearance at the Institute of International Trade and Finance in Washington.

According to the Wall Street Journal, the US government is considering cutting tariffs on Chinese goods to between 50% and 65%, a significant reduction from the current 145% rate.

US Fiscal Deficit To Narrow

The US federal budget deficit for the current fiscal year is expected to shrink modestly compared to 2024, aided in part by higher tariff revenues and a springtime tax collection boost, according to analysts at Wells Fargo.

In a client note, analysts led by Michael Pugliese forecast that the federal budget deficit — which occurs when government spending exceeds revenue — will reach $1.70 trillion, slightly below the $1.83 trillion recorded in 2024.

No Talks Underway

Despite claims from the White House suggesting that tensions with Beijing would ease this week, China maintains there are no ongoing trade talks with the United States.

"There are currently no negotiations on economic and trade matters between China and the United States," stated He Yadong, spokesperson for China's Ministry of Commerce.

This sentiment was echoed by Guo Jiakun, spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

Both reiterated China's official stance that it remains open to dialogue with the US.

Could China Cut Ties With The US?

In theory, Chinese consumers could absorb the impact of a collapse in exports to the United States, but only with significantly greater government support than policymakers currently appear willing to provide, according to analysts at Capital Economics.

"Retail sales in China are more than ten times larger than the country’s exports to the US," the firm noted, suggesting a 4% increase in domestic goods consumption over two years would be required to offset the potential 2 trillion yuan impact of US tariffs.

While further policy support is possible, Capital Economics remains "sceptical that Chinese households will receive sufficient assistance to allow their spending to fully compensate for the loss of US demand."

Tech Giants Face EU Sanctions

On Wednesday 23 April, the European Commission announced financial sanctions against US tech giants Apple and Meta (Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp) for competition law violations, despite ongoing tensions with President Donald Trump over tariffs.

Apple has been fined €500 million, while Meta must pay €200 million for breaching regulations regarding the use of personal data.

In 2024, Meta offered European Facebook and Instagram users a choice: either consent to all their data being used for commercial purposes or pay to opt out of advertising — with no intermediate option, such as personalised ads using less personal data.

The Commission ruled this violated European regulations.

Tesla Rescue Underway

Elon Musk has announced plans to return to Tesla.

On Tuesday night, Musk informed investors he would resign from his role as head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) next month.

Some optimists predict that Musk's withdrawal from DOGE will be enough to shield Tesla from further trouble.

Tesla shares (TSLA) rose more than 3% in early trading on Wednesday, even after the electric car maker reported a 71% slump in net profits due to falling global sales.

TSMC: Strong Growth Ahead

Taiwan's TSMC, the world’s largest contract chip manufacturer, announced that its next-generation chip manufacturing process, known as A14, will enter production in 2028, as part of efforts to maintain industry leadership.

The technology promises up to 15% faster performance and 30% lower power consumption compared to previous chips.

Nanometre chip production processes are crucial for developing artificial intelligence (AI) applications and devices, which require extremely small semiconductors to function.

TSMC, which counts Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), and AMD (NASDAQ:AMD) among its top clients, dominates the global advanced semiconductor foundry market, accounting for over 70% of revenues in the first quarter.

New SEC Chairman

In one of his first public appearances as the newly appointed Chairman of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Paul Atkins made remarks at the agency’s third roundtable on cryptocurrency regulation.

Speaking at an event on 25 April, Atkins expressed hope for "enormous benefits" from blockchain technology, citing improved efficiency, risk mitigation, transparency, and cost reductions.

He reiterated that providing "clear regulatory rules" for crypto-assets would be a key objective under his leadership, hinting that the SEC under former Chairman Gary Gensler had contributed to regulatory and market uncertainty.

PepsiCo Faces Challenges

Ramón Laguarta, CEO of PepsiCo, warned of further volatility and uncertainty, especially concerning global trade developments, which are expected to increase supply chain costs.

The company reported a 10.19% fall in net attributable profit to $1.834 billion for the first quarter of 2025.

Revenue reached $17.919 billion, down 1.8% compared to $18.250 billion during the same period last year.

Domestic food business volumes fell by 1%, while North American beverage unit sales declined by 3%.

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Disclaimer

This website is owned and operated by FXLIVECAPITAL Ltd., registered under number 2024-00428 with a registered address at Ground Floor, The Sotheby Building, Rodney Bay, Gros-Islet, Saint Lucia, and an operational address at Paseo De La Reforma, No.250, 9th Floor, Tower A, Col. Juárez, Mexico City, Mexico.

Risk Warning

Trading leveraged products such as forex, cryptocurrencies, and derivatives carries a high risk to your capital and may not be suitable for all investors. Before trading, ensure you fully understand the risks involved, taking into account your investment objectives and level of experience. Seek independent advice if necessary. Please read our full risk disclosure.

Regional Restrictions

FXLIVECAPITAL Ltd. does not provide services to residents of Sudan, Syria, North Korea, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Cuba, Iran, the United States, and Canada.

We do not warrant the accuracy of the material on this Website nor are we obliged to keep all material on this Website up-to-date. We do not represent or warrant that the Website will be available or that it will meet your requirements, that access will be uninterrupted, that there will be no delays, failures, errors or omissions or loss of transmitted information, that no viruses or other contaminating or destructive properties will be transmitted or that no damage will occur to your computer system. You have sole responsibility for adequate protection and back up of data and/or equipment and for undertaking reasonable and appropriate precautions to scan for computer viruses or other destructive properties.

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Please review the Legal Information, Disclaimers, Privacy Policy, Cookie Policy, and AML & KYC Summary documents on this Website. These documents are available in English only. By using this Website, you confirm that you understand these documents in English or have consulted a professional interpreter if needed.

© 2024 FXLIVECAPITAL Ltd. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer

This website is owned and operated by FXLIVECAPITAL Ltd., registered under number 2024-00428 with a registered address at Ground Floor, The Sotheby Building, Rodney Bay, Gros-Islet, Saint Lucia, and an operational address at Paseo De La Reforma, No.250, 9th Floor, Tower A, Col. Juárez, Mexico City, Mexico.

Risk Warning

Trading leveraged products such as forex, cryptocurrencies, and derivatives carries a high risk to your capital and may not be suitable for all investors. Before trading, ensure you fully understand the risks involved, taking into account your investment objectives and level of experience. Seek independent advice if necessary. Please read our full risk disclosure.

Regional Restrictions

FXLIVECAPITAL Ltd. does not provide services to residents of Sudan, Syria, North Korea, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Cuba, Iran, the United States, and Canada.

We do not warrant the accuracy of the material on this Website nor are we obliged to keep all material on this Website up-to-date. We do not represent or warrant that the Website will be available or that it will meet your requirements, that access will be uninterrupted, that there will be no delays, failures, errors or omissions or loss of transmitted information, that no viruses or other contaminating or destructive properties will be transmitted or that no damage will occur to your computer system. You have sole responsibility for adequate protection and back up of data and/or equipment and for undertaking reasonable and appropriate precautions to scan for computer viruses or other destructive properties.

FXLIVECAPITAL Ltd. and its affiliates are not liable for any loss or damage (direct, indirect, or consequential) arising from your use of this Website or inability to use it, including any loss of income, profits, data, or business interruption. This includes, but is not limited to, damages caused by viruses or other harmful components that may affect your computer or data from accessing, using, or downloading materials from this Website or linked websites.

All information collected from your use of this Website will be managed in compliance with applicable laws and regulations. Content on this Website, including pages, screens, and materials, is owned by FXLIVECAPITAL Ltd. You may download or print extracts for personal use only, provided they are unaltered and retain any identifying marks. Distribution or further use of these materials without prior written permission from FXLIVECAPITAL Ltd. is prohibited, including linking any other website to this Website.

Please review the Legal Information, Disclaimers, Privacy Policy, Cookie Policy, and AML & KYC Summary documents on this Website. These documents are available in English only. By using this Website, you confirm that you understand these documents in English or have consulted a professional interpreter if needed.

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